New Essay: Which Future?

This is an essay on how to wisely navigate risks from transformative technology, especially artificial superintelligence (ASI). It’s based on a talk given at the Astera Institute, where I am a Research Fellow, in January 2026, and condenses much of the key thinking from my more extended essays.

https://michaelnotebook.com/whichfuture/index.html

Enjoy!

Michael